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Posts Tagged ‘week 12’

Week 12 Spread Ranges

Posted by deck104 on November 20, 2008

After another frustrating week we’ve decided to mix things up a bit seeing how this is our ‘test’ season and we’re still working out kinks.

Now instead of giving you what each model outputs and messing around with ranges that don’t make a whole lot of sense (“why would I take Denver at +3 but not +6??”), we’re just going to give you the worst possible spread for the games that qualify, the confidence level, and any other pertinent information that you might need to bet.

As always post any questions or email us.

 

Chicago, -8 and better @ St. Louis – Confidence Level I

 

Cleveland, -4 and better vs. Houston – Confidence Level I

 

Denver, -10 and better vs. Oakland – Confidence Level I

 

Indianapolis, +2 and better @ San Diego – Confidence Level I

 

Tampa Bay, -9 and better @ Detroit – Confidence Level II

 

Tennessee, -6 and better vs. New York Jets – Confidence Level II

 

Green Bay, +2 and better @ New Orleans – Confidence Level II

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Week 12 Power Rankings

Posted by deck104 on November 20, 2008

Mr. Formula outputs a power ranking every week, it’s how he ranks the teams and pits them against each other inside his mindgrapes. Below is the fruit of his labor after taking into account a bunch of variables and cross referencing them against each other.

The Number to the right of each team is their “value” at a neutral field. For Example, the number one ranked team, Tennessee, has a value of 27.76758. St. Louis, the worst team, has a value of 0.00000 (beacuse every other team is assumed to beat them). Meaning Tennessee should conceivably beat St. Louis by 27 points at a neutral site. The Giants, the second ranked team has a value of 26.18522, meaning the Titans “would” beat the Giants by approximately 3.05 points at a neutral site (like London).

This in no way is supposed to predict how many points a team will score in a game, simply their superiority over the clubs below them.

Week 12:

1.  Tennessee    – 27.76758
2.  NY Giants    – 26.18522
3.  Green Bay    – 24.00425
4.  Pittsburgh   – 23.66857
5.  Tampa Bay    – 22.38370
6.  Philadelphia – 22.03401
7.  Baltimore    – 21.88609
8.  Carolina     – 21.16097
9.  Arizona      – 19.67321
10. Indianapolis – 19.16029
11. Chicago      – 19.13627
12. Atlanta      – 18.83900
13. NY Jets      – 18.71930
14. San Diego    – 18.02916
15. Minnesota    – 18.01955
16. Dallas       – 17.73040
17. Jacksonville – 15.90905
18. New Orleans  – 16.60562
19. Celeveland   – 15.98245
20. Washington   – 15.78766
21. Miami        – 15.45555
22. New England  – 15.25962
23. Buffalo      – 13.62349
24. Denver       – 12.91206
25. Houston      – 12.47595
26. Seattle      – 9.45947
27. San Fran     – 9.26765
28. Cincinatti   – 9.23586
29. Kansas City  – 6.93941
30. Oakland      – 5.71706
31. Detroit      – 4.49666
32. St. Louis    – 0.00000

 

Crazy week so these are a little late. Going to start working on the new spreads.

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